Thematic Investing: Opportunities, Pitfalls, and Current Trends

14th June 2024
Thematic investing has increasingly become a focal point for forward-thinking investors. At the South East Asia Investors Forum in Bangkok, I had the opportunity to discuss this subject in depth with a fund manager from Lazard Asset Management. Our conversation underscored both the potential and the challenges inherent in thematic investing.
The Promise of Thematic Investing

The essence of thematic investing lies in identifying and capitalising on transformative shifts within markets. These shifts, often driven by technological advancements, demographic changes, or societal trends, tend to unfold at a non-linear pace. As Lazard Asset Management highlighted, such shifts can surprise markets with their size and duration, offering opportunities for outsized growth. Successfully forecasting these themes over the medium to long term can provide investors with significant returns.
Learning from Past Mistakes

However, thematic investing is not without its pitfalls. The solar industry serves as a cautionary tale where poorly researched thematic investments led to significant losses. Investors were swayed by a compelling narrative but failed to conduct the necessary due diligence. This example underscores the importance of thorough research and critical analysis in thematic investing.

Common Mistakes in Thematic Investing

Several common mistakes can derail thematic investments:

  1. Narrative Fallacies: Building investment themes around attractive but ultimately empty marketing narratives can be misleading. Investors must look beyond the surface to understand the fundamental drivers of a theme.
  2. Imprecise Forecasting: Predicting financial movements ten years in advance is inherently challenging. Misjudging the timing or impact of a theme can lead to poor investment decisions.
  3. Insufficient Research: Investing in companies merely because they fit a theme without proper research can be detrimental. It is crucial to evaluate the viability and competitive advantage of each company.
  4. Overconcentration: Focusing too heavily on a single theme can be risky. Diversification across multiple themes can help mitigate risks associated with the maturation or decline of any one theme.
  5. Inexperience: Thematic investing requires a nuanced understanding of market trends and the ability to adapt to changing circumstances. Experienced thematic managers are better equipped to navigate these complexities.

Current Themes in Financial Markets

Presently, technology and energy dominate the thematic investing landscape. Lazard Asset Management has identified six key themes within current markets, which they incorporate into their funds. Typically, they follow three to six themes at any given time, with 35-55 stocks held across those themes. This diversified approach allows them to capture growth opportunities while managing risks effectively. Regular reviews ensure that their thematic strategies remain relevant and adaptive to market changes.

Brigantia's Approach to Thematic Investing

At Brigantia Private Wealth Management, we continuously seek out funds and fund managers that can be incorporated into our bespoke portfolios. Our aim is to provide clients with an edge in the financial markets through well-researched and strategically selected thematic investments. This commitment to rigorous analysis and client success sets us apart and has earned us the trust of our clients.

If you are interested in exploring how thematic investing can enhance your portfolio, we invite you to book a free, no-obligation introductory call. Simply hit the button below this blog to get started. Our team is ready to help you navigate the complexities of thematic investing and achieve your financial goals.